Archive for the Uncategorized category
Online Gambling On Mobile Phone
by admin on October 7th, 2007
What’s more we can organize to meet in a proper online casino or we can upgrade the game to mobile status, meaning that we all log on from our cell phones and play mobile poker. The last time we tried this it ended in disaster when Jake from the Third Avenue Retirement Center claimed he was holding a major flush when he lost the call. We all tried to cheer him up immediately and have spent six months since then wondering if he really had a flush and whether he was online at the time. Jake has hallucinations from time to time.
I don’t. I am still in the real world and I just dream a little, like winning the Lotto or hitting the big one in an online casino. I’ve been playing blackjack lately because I needed to win and blackjack gives one the best chance, as I see it. At least I get a chance to make some of the decisions in this game. The important decisions, that is, like whether to stand or take a hit, whether to split or double. These are decisions that will help me win or make me lose, so why shouldn’t I make them? In roulette the only thing you have to do is decide the size of the bet.
Blackjack is also a respectable mobile gambling game and I spend many mornings in my favorite coffee shop, The Daily Grind, on my phone, playing blackjack in an online casino with a mobile feature. In a busy place with lots of chatter going on all around, there is something quite perverse about gambling and winning money when no one even suspects what you are doing. I get a curious glance from time to time, but no one ever asks if they can share my table or even tries to start a conversation. But when I’m winning and it’s time to get up and go home, I do smile at all the other coffee drinkers on my way out.
High Variance For Playing Slots
by admin on October 7th, 2007
Hi Everyone,
We’ve seen a lot of people join up over the last few days, and with
our (to few) slot machines being of the ‘high to very high’ variance type, I
think this is a good time to try and shed some light on to the nature of
machines like this, and how you, as a player can make sure to get what you
expect out of it.
First off, a brief introduction explaining some of the terminology seems
appropriate. In statistics in general, two numbers are considered the most
important to describe a ’sample’ or collection of for example winamounts.
Those two numbers are the average and the variance.
These two numbers give a good representation of any collection of numbers,
and are therefor also commonly used to describe how casino games pay. Now
how is this important to the player? Well, as far as average goes .. that’s
fairly obvious. The average payout will determine if on the long term you will
win or loose. Unfortunately - there’s some bad news here .. all casino games
are designed to have an average below 100% .. the closer to 100% the
better for the player, and if you find one that’s above 100%, let me know !
So the first number will give you the average on the long term, and the
second number, the variance, will tell you how long that term is. In
mathematical terms, the variance tells you how far, on average, each of the
results is from the long term payout percentage. So, if we have a machine
with a variance of zero, that means that there is no difference between a
single spin and the average .. so that’s a machine that pays out e.g. 0.95 for
every 1 you put in .. not very exciting.
Worded from a player point of view .. high variance means that you can still
be ahead on the casino even after many spins. Eventually everyone will get to
the average, but the higher the variance, the longer this can take..
Now, there’s more to it if you’re into multiline video slots. Especially the free
spin types. It is important to know that these machines have a large part of
their payout percentage in the feature. So a session that does not hit the
feature will never be a ‘happy’ one.
The good news however is, that it is very easy to calculate the odds on this,
and based on that you can choose a bet size that reflects the expectations
you have. There’s only a tiny little bit of math involved, so please bear with
me
As an example, we will use a feature that on average hits 1 in 160 spins. (this
is very close to our supersuits and tut slots). For every spin you have a
chance of 1/160 to hit the feature, so you have 159/160 to not hit the
feature.
Furthermore, we will start with a $100 bankroll, and examine how our choice
of betsize influences the chances of not hitting the feature..
In the first sample, we’ll bet $1 … so we can be sure of 100 spins .. the odds
of not hitting the feature in 100 spins are given by
(159/160) to the power of 100 = (159/160)^100 = 0.5342 = 53.42%
So, with 100 spins .. we have 53% chance of not hitting the feature .. if
however we lower our betsize to 1/4th ($.25) and get in 400 spins ..
(159/160) to the power of 400 = (159/160)^400 = 0.0814 = 8.14%
The sharp reader now notices that 8.14% is not 53.42%/4 .. betting $1 will
make on average 1 in 2 sessions ‘loosing sessions’, whereas with a bet of $0.5
only 1 in 12.2 sessions (on average) will be one not hitting the feature. With
a high part of the payout in freespins, you want to make sure not to set
yourself up with to little spins.
Some players are cool with one in two sessions being really low and the other
one really good, others prefer to always get more play for their dough. As a
player you can never increase the actual variance of a machine, but all you
need to do to lower it is make sure you get more spins for the same budget,
and thus play lower bets ..
It is up to all of you to decide what your personal preference is, and I just
hope that this post clarifies things a bit for those that did not yet have a
clear view on variances.
In closing, I’ll share the exact numbers of the feature frequencies for 3Dice so that
you can do the maths and know what your odds are ..
Tut-Ankh-Amun : 1 in 158
SuperSuits : 1 in 155
Happy Valley : 1 in 135
Squirrel Pike : 1 in 48
As a last word of good advice to new 3dice players, join and play in the
tournaments, they are free, last long, allow all games, very exciting, and the
perfect way to get a good a ‘feel’ about the games.
Fantasy Basketball League Is Worth Learning
by admin on October 4th, 2007
There is nothing that can be more exciting than being a member of a fantasy basketball league. It allows you to be the manager and owner of your own team. You can draft players, trade players or bench players, very much like professional managers and owners do in real life. You even have a commissioner who makes sure that the league is played according to rules, and no one who is part of the league cheats.
No wonder the fantasy league has become an addiction. Millions of Americans join fantasy leagues set up by different organizations before the season starts. These leagues operate very much like professional basketball leagues. You are first required to register your team. Generally, a league has 12 teams though this is not a fixed rule. Some leagues have as many as 20 teams.
The roster size of teams varies from league to league though generally this number is around 14. However, only nine players are allowed to start every week. The remaining five are in reserve, and their points are not counted.
The most exciting day is the draft day. Each team is allowed to pick its stock of players, based on their performance. This allows teams to pick up several superstars in different positions. However, the draft rules make sure that each team manager in a league has a fair chance, and that no one individual walks away with the best players.
There are two points system that are followed in deciding the winner. These are Head-to-Head and the Rotisserie. In the Head-to-Head league each team enters the points that its players have scored against a rival league team during that week. These include points, rebounds, assists, blocks and steals. The team that gets more points, based on the way its players have performed on the court, wins that week. In the Rotisserie League, the player’s statistics are tallied up against the entire league.
Before each game you are required to prepare your line ups. This is where your skill and knowledge of the game is tested. You may have superstars on your team but if you do not play them in the right position you may not derive the right benefit.
Either way, the success of your team depends on how the players you have chosen are performing. Of course, you have the right to trade off the players who are not performing well, or get a rookie who has taken the tournament by storm. The trade off is done in a very just manner, and is supervised by your league commissioner.
The team that tops the fantasy league walks away with the jackpot.
About the Author
David Barnes phd. Social Sciences, UTSA http://www.ifantasy-basketball.info
